Longtime Atlantic-10 foes will renew their rivalry as part of Friday’s college basketball schedule. The VCU Rams will visit the Dayton Flyers, with both teams on an upward trend. VCU (18-5) is 8-2 in conference play and has won eight of its last nine. As for Dayton (16-7), it is 6-4 in the A-10 and has won five of its last six contests. The Rams lead the head-to-head series with a 15-9 record, however, it was the Flyers who prevailed in their last meeting, 91-86, in March 2024. VCU is 14-8 against the spread (ATS) in the 2024-25 college basketball season, while Dayton is 11-11 ATS.
Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET from UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio. The Rams are favored by 1.5 points in the latest Dayton vs. VCU odds, while the over/under is 139.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any VCU vs. Dayton picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 14 of the 2024-25 season on a 208-149 betting roll (+2275) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on VCU vs. Dayton. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for Dayton vs. VCU:
- VCU vs. Dayton spread: VCU -1.5
- VCU vs. Dayton over/under: 139.5 points
- VCU vs. Dayton money line: VCU -123, Dayton +103
- VCU vs. Dayton picks: See picks at SportsLine
- VCU vs. Dayton streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why VCU can cover
The Rams aren’t just winning on the scoreboard, as they are also prevailing versus the spread in recent games. VCU is 6-1 ATS over its last seven and is covering at a 70% clip (14-6) as a favorite this season. Meanwhile, Dayton is only 3-9 versus the spread over its last 12 games and hasn’t fared well in its home arena. The Flyers are only 1-5 ATS over their last six at UD Arena, and they’ve also outright lost three of their last four home games versus VCU.
Few teams can stack up defensively to Virginia Commonwealth, who rank among the top dozen teams in Division I in both points allowed per game and defensive rating. VCU excels both inside the arc, as it ranks eighth nationally in blocks per game, and on the perimeter, as just seven teams allow fewer made 3-pointers per game. On offense, the team’s five leading scorers are all seniors, and it is led by the well-traveled Joe Bamisile. He’s at his fourth school in five years, tops the Rams with 16.2 points per game, and has scored in double-figures in 21 of 23 starts this year. See which team to pick here.
Why Dayton can cover
The 3-point shot is the great equalizer in college basketball, and the Flyers excel in that regard. They lead the A-10 in 3-point percentage, with each of their top three scorers knocking down over 38% of attempts from downtown. Pittsburgh transfer, Nate Santos has hit 49% of his 3-pointers over his last eight games, and he’s doing it with a high volume at 4.9 attempts per game over that stretch.
Santos leads Dayton with 14.3 points, and he had outings of 19 and 21 points in two matchups with the Rams last season. He is one of five Flyers averaging at least 9.5 points as coach Anthony Grant has a deep rotation of 11 players. Among those is 7-foot-1 Frenchman, Amael L’Etang, who is seeing more playing time of late and has seven blocks over his last three games. He poses a major deterrent in the lane against a VCU squad whose top four scorers are all 6-foot-5 or shorter. See which team to pick here.
How to make VCU vs. Dayton picks
The model has simulated Dayton vs. VCU 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, projecting 145 combined points, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Virginia Commonwealth vs. Dayton, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Dayton vs. Virginia Commonwealth spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 208-149 roll on top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.
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