2025 Stanley Cup odds, NHL Playoffs picks: Top expert hockey futures best bets, Conn Smythe Trophy predictions

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The 25 NHL Playoffs are in full swing, and the odds to win the Stanley Cup have shifted dramatically. After jumping out to a 1-0 lead in their first round series, the Colorado Avalanche have dropped two straight games to the Dallas Stars despite the return of the team’s captain, Gabe Landeskog. The Avs went from +500 betting favorites to win the Stanley Cup after Game 1, to a moderate contender at +1050 following Game 3. Now that each NHL playoff series has played two games, the odds to win the Stanley Cup have been updated for each of the 16 remaining NHL teams at BetMGM

SportsLine expert handicapper Jimmie Kaylor has broken down the latest betting trends and NHL futures odds from BetMGM and locked in his top picks to win the Stanley Cup, Eastern and Western Conferences, and the Conn Smyth Trophy. 

In the 4 Nations Face-Off Final, Kaylor picked Nathan MacKinnon to be the first goal scorer and for the game to finish under 5.5 goals. The result: MacKinnon notched the game’s first goal for a 13-1 payout, and the game finished with a final score of 3-2 in Canada’s favor.

Recently, Kaylor also nailed a five-leg same-game parlay in the Avalanche vs. Red Wings game for a payout of almost 7-1, and on the final night of the regular season, Kaylor gave away a five-leg NHL parlay that hit for a payout of almost 13-1.

Kaylor has had a chance to break down the latest NHL odds from BetMGM and has locked in his top futures bet for the Stanley Cup and NHL player awards. You can get picks for every NHL playoff game from NHL experts, including Kaylor, and from a proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

2025 NHL Stanley Cup odds (Updated 4/24 at BetMGM)

Current Odds Opening Odds
New Jersey Devils +15000 +1300
Montreal Canadiens +15000 +15000
St. Louis Blues +10000 +4500
Ottawa Senators +10000 +4000
Minnesota Wild +4000 +4000
Edmonton Oilers +2500 +1000
Tampa Bay Lightning +1600 +2000
Colorado Avalanche +1050 +1000
Vegas Golden Knights +950 +1200
Los Angeles Kings +900 +2200
Washington Capitals +850 +10000
Dallas Stars +850 +1000
Toronto Maple Leafs +750 +1600
Florida Panthers +750 +900
Winnipeg Jets +700 +2200
Carolina Hurricanes +500 +1100

Highest Ticket %:

  • Avalanche 10.6%
  • Knights 8.7%
  • Maple Leafs 8.4%

Highest Handle %:

  • Avalanche 11.0%
  • Maple Leafs 8.4%
  • Golden Knights 7.9%

Biggest Liabilities:

  • Blues
  • Canadiens
  • Red Wings

According to Matthew Rasp, who is a Senior Trader for BetMGM, two longshots — the Blues and Canadiens are the sportsbook’s biggest liabilities right now. “The Panthers and Lightning are among the favorites to win the Stanley Cup but the public is ignoring them. BetMGM really wants the Stanley Cup to stay in Florida. The Blues and Canadiens are our biggest liabilities to win it all,” Rasp said.

With two games in the books for each of the playoff series around the league, the 2025 Stanley Cup odds have shifted dramatically. The Stars went from a +2200 longshot to a top contender at +850. The Hurricanes have been dominant thus far and are now favored to win it all. 

Despite its struggles, Colorado is still my pick to win the Stanley Cup. But I continue to be impressed with Toronto.

Best Bet: Colorado Avalanche +750 (placed April 17)

Sleeper: Maple Leafs +1200 (place April 17)

2025 NHL Playoff odds to win the Eastern Conference (Updated 4/24 at BetMGM)

Current Odds Opening Odds
New Jersey Devils +8000 +625
Montreal Canadiens +8000 +10000
Ottawa Senators +5000 +2000
Tampa Bay Lightning +800 +1000
Washington Capitals +425 +9000
Toronto Maple Leafs +350 +800
Florida Panthers +340 +500
Carolina Hurricanes +200 +525
  • Favorite: Hurricanes +200
  • Highest Ticket Percentage: Capitals 16.5%
  • Highest Handle Percentage: Hurricanes 37.6%
  • Biggest Liability: Red Wings

I don’t love the value here for the Hurricanes (+350) nor the Panthers (+340). Nonetheless, Florida is my pick in the Eastern Conference. My sleeper pick here would be the Toronto Maple Leafs. 

Best Bet: Panthers (+340)

Sleeper: Maple Leafs (+575)

2025 NHL Playoff odds to win the Western Conference (Updated 4/24 at BetMGM)

Current Odds Opening Odds
St. Louis Blues +5000 +2200
Minnesota Wild +1500 +1600
Edmonton Oilers +1400 +500
Colorado Avalanche +550 +500
Vegas Golden Knights +450 +650
Los Angeles Kings +400 +1000
Dallas Stars +400 +500
Winnipeg Jets +310 +1000
  • Favorite: Jets +310
  • Highest Ticket Percentage: Avalanche 16.9%
  • Highest Handle Percentage: Jets 37.9%
  • Biggest Liability: Blues

The Stars and Avalanche square off in a first round matchup that features arguably the two best teams in the Western Conference right now. The winner will instantly become the favorite to win the 2025 Stanley Cup. Colorado is my pick in that series, with the Stars dealing with a couple of significant injuries. Vegas has the look of a potential sleeper.

Best Bet: Avalanche (+380)

Sleeper: Vegas Golden Knights (+450)

2025 NHL odds to win the Conn Smythe Trophy (Updated 4/24 at BetMGM)

Current Odds
Matthew Tkachuk +2000
Alex Ovechkin +2000
Sebastian Aho +1600
Nathan MacKinnon +1600
Connor Hellebuyck +1000

History would suggest that this award will go to the top player on the Stanley Cup-winning team. Last year, McDavid became only the sixth player ever to win the Conn Smythe while playing for a team that did not win the Stanley Cup. This year I expect the Smythe winner to also be a Stanley Cup champion — and my early prediction is that the eventual Stanley Cup champion will be the team that wins the Stars-Avalanche series. 

The last time Colorado won the Stanley Cup, Makar took home the Conn Smythe. Nathan MacKinnon at 16-1 is enticing, but Makar at 30-1, the value is too good to pass up. 

As for potential sleepers, Valeri Nichuskin has the potential to play a pivotal role for Colorado if the team can go on a deep run. His odds opened at 300-1, but have been bet down to 150-1. 

Best Bet: Makar +3000 (Placed April 24)

Sleeper: Valeri Nichushkin (+15000)

Looking for more NHL Playoff picks?

SportsLine expert Matt Severance is on a 119-62 roll (+2440) on NHL picks. Visit SportsLine now to get all of his NHL picks

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