Maple Leafs at Senators, Eastern Conference 1st Round Game 3 preview

Numbers to know: 54.8. That’s the percentage of face-offs won by the Maple Leafs through the first two games. It continues a trend of success by Toronto, which ranked second in the NHL during the regular season with a face-off percentage of 53.7 percent.

What to look for: The Maple Leafs expect the Senators to attempt to carry the play and make a strong push in the opening 10 minutes on Ottawa’s home ice. It will be interesting to see how many Maple Leafs supporters are in the building, since there are thousands of them whenever Toronto visits here during the regular season.

What they are saying

“I think them being at home, with the crowd and everything, they’re going to make a hard push here earlier. And I think things get harder as the series goes on, as they do in every series.” — Maple Leafs coach Craig Berube

“Obviously the home team always has an advantage. They have a lot of star power over there and we’ll just try to find a way to limit their chances. Obviously with giving them that much power-play time (Toronto is 4-for-7 with the man advantage in the series), it didn’t really help us, but I think at 5-on-5 we’ve done a pretty good job so far. I hope the matchups will help tonight.” — Senators forward Tim Stutzle

Maple Leafs projected lineup

Matthew Knies — Auston Matthews — Mitch Marner

Pontus Holmberg — John Tavares — William Nylander

Max Pacioretty — Max Domi — Bobby McMann

Calle Jarnkrok — Scott Laughton — Steven Lorentz

Morgan Rielly — Brandon Carlo

Jake McCabe — Chris Tanev

Simon Benoit — Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Anthony Stolarz

Joseph Woll

Scratched: Dakota Mermis, Philippe Myers, David Kampf, Artur Akhtyamov, Nicholas Robertson

Injured: Jani Hakanpaa (lower body)

Senators projected lineup

Brady Tkachuk — Tim Stutzle — Claude Giroux

Fabian Zetterlund — Dylan Cozens — Drake Batherson

Ridly Greig — Shane Pinto — Michael Amadio

David Perron — Adam Gaudette — Nick Cousins

Jake Sanderson — Artem Zub

Thomas Chabot — Nick Jensen

Tyler Kleven — Nikolas Matinpalo

Linus Ullmark

Anton Forsberg

Scratched: Dennis Gilbert, Travis Hamonic, Matthew Highmore

Injured: Hayden Hodgson (lower body)

Status report

Pacioretty took reps at the net front on the second power-play unit during the morning skate. … Greig also missed the morning skate but is likely to play.

NHL.com independent correspondent Callum Fraser contributed to this report

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