The Beavers then have the chance to roll out a collection of Nelson Keljo, Wyatt Queen, and Eric Segura, all of whom have bounced between high-leverage roles and starting.
Across the board, I see Oregon State as incredibly balanced, and the talent is undoubtedly there to battle the Seminoles in what should be some of the best baseball we’ll know all postseason.
Prediction
The bottom line is that these two teams’ rosters are pretty even, but there are more than a few reasons why Oregon State should be the favorite here. A 21-3 home record has to be respected, and with travel, the Seminoles will be at a disadvantage.
While Oregon State didn’t have a conference, they went 23-11 against Q1 and Q2 competition, so we aren’t questioning their ability to rise to the occasion against elite competition.
Oregon State owns the wRC+ advantage on Florida State, posting a 150 compared to Florida State at 141. While Florida State has more “well-known” names in the rotation, when we look at the overall data on these two staffs, it can be argued that Oregon State owns the advantage. The Beavers’ pitching staff ranks within the top 20 in ERA, WHIP, xFIP, and SIERA, while Florida State is behind them in all of those statistics.
The Beavers are more balanced than the Seminoles, and while they have Jamie Arnold, we have Aiva Arquette. There is plenty of value in this play, as the Beavers should not be the underdog in Corvallis.
