College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Saturday, February 22.
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12:00 PM Eastern
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
Tennessee ranks third in the country in points per possession allowed on defense and is one of the few teams capable of matching Texas A&M on the glass. Texas A&M leads the country in home offensive rebound percentage, securing 43.8% of their misses, but Tennessee ranks 16th in overall rebound percentage.
Pick: Tennessee +2 (Greg’s Handicap: Tennessee -2.5)
Charleston vs. Drexel
Charleston has one of the biggest home-to-road three-point shooting splits in the nation, making 41.2% of their three-point shots at home (7th in the country) but just 30.1% on the road. They also face a disadvantage on the glass, with Drexel ranking 59th in rebound percentage while Charleston ranks 223rd.
Pick: Drexel PK (Greg’s Handicap: Drexel -4.5)
Oregon vs. Wisconsin
Neither team plays at a fast pace, with Wisconsin ranking 174th and Oregon 150th in total possessions per game. However, Wisconsin’s defense is significantly stronger at home, ranking 66th in points per possession allowed compared to 101st overall, allowing 14.2 points per 100 possessions fewer at home than on the road.
Pick: Oregon vs. Wisconsin Under 155.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 151.5)
1:00 PM Eastern
Central Michigan vs. Western Michigan
Western Michigan ranks 314th in points per possession at home, with a 24.3% three-point shooting percentage at home—the worst in the country. Meanwhile, Central Michigan ranks 316th in three-point shooting percentage at 31%.
Pick: Central Michigan vs. Western Michigan Under 149 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 143.5)
2:00 PM Eastern
Iowa State vs. Houston
Despite missing their top two scorers, Keshon Gilbert and Curtis Jones, Iowa State retains defensive leader Tamin Lipsey, who anchors a defense that ranks 11th in points per possession allowed and 17th in turnovers per possession. They face a slow-paced Houston team, ranked 358th in possessions per game.
Pick: Iowa State +13.5 & Under 133 (Greg’s Handicap: Iowa State +10.5, Total 126.5)
Wagner vs. Chicago State
Chicago State ranks 362nd in points per possession on offense and faces a Wagner defense ranked 22nd in defensive rebound percentage. Wagner should capitalize on a Chicago State defense that ranks 320th in points per possession allowed.
Pick: Wagner PK (Greg’s Handicap: Wagner -5.5)
3:00 PM Eastern
Sam Houston State vs. Middle Tennessee
Sam Houston State relies on three-point shooting, making 37.9% of their shots from beyond the arc (21st in the nation). However, they face a Middle Tennessee defense allowing only 26.9% three-point shooting at home (16th in the nation). Sam Houston State also struggles defensively, ranking 269th in points per possession allowed.
Pick: Middle Tennessee -4.5 (Greg’s Handicap: Middle Tennessee -8.5)
Western Carolina vs. Samford
Western Carolina ranks 360th in points per possession in road games and 290th in turnovers per possession on offense. They face a Samford team that ranks 17th in turnovers forced per possession at home and 30th in three-point shooting percentage at 37.5%.
Pick: Samford -16 (Greg’s Handicap: Samford -23)
4:00 PM Eastern
George Mason vs. VCU
Both teams boast elite defenses, with VCU ranking 5th in points per possession allowed and George Mason ranking 6th. However, George Mason has the edge on the glass, ranking 27th in rebound percentage and holding opponents to 29.2% shooting from three-point range in road games.
Pick: George Mason +10.5 (Greg’s Handicap: George Mason +6.5)
4:30 PM Eastern
UMass Lowell vs. Vermont
Vermont ranks 319th in points per possession on offense, while UMass Lowell excels in efficiency, ranking 38th in two-point shooting percentage and 26th in free throw percentage. Vermont struggles defensively inside, ranking 317th in opponent two-point shooting percentage at home.
Pick: UMass Lowell +3.5 (Greg’s Handicap: UMass Lowell -2.5)
6:00 PM Eastern
Virginia Tech vs. Miami
Miami ranks 358th in opponent three-point shooting percentage, allowing teams to hit 39.5% of their threes at home. They also rank 354th in points per possession allowed. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech has reduced its turnover issues, averaging 11.6 turnovers per game in ACC play compared to 15.1 in non-conference games.
Pick: Virginia Tech +3 (Greg’s Handicap: Virginia Tech -3.5)
Kentucky vs. Alabama
Kentucky is dealing with injuries to three key guards, which impacts an offense that averages 17.2 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road. Alabama’s defense is solid at home, allowing just 27% shooting from three-point range (17th in the country).
Pick: Kentucky vs. Alabama Under 180.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 177.5)
Florida vs. LSU
Florida ranks 9th in points per possession allowed on defense and faces an LSU offense that struggles with ball control, ranking 280th in turnovers per possession and 272nd in three-point shooting percentage.
Pick: Florida vs. LSU Under 153 (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 146)
8:00 PM Eastern
St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga
Gonzaga leads the nation in points per possession at home, but St. Mary’s dominates the offensive glass, ranking 1st in percentage of missed shots turned into offensive rebounds. Defensively, St. Mary’s allows fewer points per possession on the road than at home, ranking 4th in points per possession allowed in road games.
Pick: St. Mary’s +6.5 (Greg’s Handicap: St. Mary’s +3.5)
Missouri vs. Arkansas
Missouri ranks 342nd in defensive rebound percentage on the road, allowing teams to secure 34.2% of their missed shots. Meanwhile, Arkansas ranks 20th in opponent three-point shooting percentage at home, limiting opponents to 27.1% from beyond the arc.
Pick: Arkansas +2 (Greg’s Handicap: Arkansas -2)
8:30 PM Eastern
Texas vs. South Carolina
Texas ranks 16th in points per possession on offense at home but drops to 137th on the road. South Carolina capitalizes on second-chance opportunities, rebounding 32.2% of their missed shots at home compared to 23.4% on the road.
Pick: South Carolina +3 (Greg’s Handicap: South Carolina +1.5)
10:00 PM Eastern
Colorado State vs. UNLV
Colorado State’s offense struggles away from home, scoring 13.8 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road. UNLV is disciplined with its possessions at home, ranking 27th in fewest turnovers per possession.
Pick: UNLV +3 (Greg’s Handicap: UNLV -1.5)
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