The No. 1 seed Michigan State Spartans (26-5) will try to begin a run through the Big Ten Tournament when they face the No. 8 seed Oregon Ducks (24-8) in the quarterfinals on Friday afternoon. Michigan State earned a double bye when it finished atop the regular-season standings with a 17-3 record in league play. The Spartans finished the campaign on a seven-game winning streak, sweeping the season series against rival Michigan during that hot stretch. Oregon advanced to the quarterfinals with a 72-59 win over No. 9 seed Indiana on Thursday.
Tipoff is set for noon ET on Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Michigan State is favored by 5.5 points in the latest Michigan State vs. Oregon odds, while the over/under is 143.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Oregon vs. Michigan State picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters conference championship week on a 225-165 betting roll (+1873) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Michigan State-Oregon. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:
- Michigan State vs. Oregon spread: Michigan State -5.5
- Michigan State vs. Oregon over/under: 143.5 points
- Michigan State vs. Oregon money line: Michigan State: -236, Oregon: +194
- Michigan State vs. Oregon picks: See picks here
- Michigan State vs. Oregon streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Michigan State can cover
Michigan State is coming off a fantastic regular season, and the Spartans appear to be peaking in March yet again under head coach Tom Izzo. They are riding a seven-game winning streak that includes five wins over top-20 teams, with four of those wins coming by at least nine points. They have been able to rest since their 79-62 win over Michigan on Sunday, covering the spread as 7-point favorites.
Junior guard Tre Holloman had a team-high 20 points off the bench, shooting 8 of 12 from the floor. He has scored in double figures in five of his last nine games, adding a scoring punch from the second unit. Michigan State beat Oregon by 12 points in the lone meeting during the regular season. See which team to pick here.
Why Oregon can cover
Oregon lost five consecutive games from the end of January to the beginning of February, culminating with its loss to Michigan State on Feb. 8. The Ducks have been on a tear since then, winning eight straight games to move into the top 25. They pulled away in the second half of their 72-59 win over No. 9 seed Indiana on Thursday afternoon, as sophomore guard Jackson Shelstad scored a team-high 18 points.
Senior center Nate Bittle gives Oregon an elite paint presence, averaging 14.1 points and 7.3 rebounds per game. Shelstad (13.3 ppg), TJ Bamba (10.2) and Keeshawn Barthelemy (10.2) are all scoring in double figures as well. The Ducks are playing much better than they were when these teams met last month, and they have the revenge factor on their side. See which team to pick here.
How to make Michigan State vs. Oregon picks
The model has simulated Oregon vs. Michigan State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Michigan State vs. Oregon, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Oregon vs. Michigan State spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 225-165 roll on top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.
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