MLB Draft Prospects With The Best College Power, Contact & Chase Rates For 2025

In that preseason analysis, we looked at 2024 batted-ball data for college hitters who ranked inside our top 100 list at the time. With the 2025 college season now wrapped and the NCAA tournament soon to be underway, it’s time to revisit our findings.

Below, we’ll be looking at the same chart, but updated with 2025 batted-ball data for 122 college hitters who are set to rank on our upcoming BA 500 draft board. The data featured includes games through April 18.

In the chart below, you can tab over each plot point to get 90th percentile exit velocity, contact rates and chase rates for each of our 122 players. We have 90th percentile exit velocity plotted on the Y axis (the higher the dot the higher the EVs), contact rate on the X axis (further right is more contact, further left is less) and chase rate visualized by color (darker blue is less chase, darker red is more chase). 

For a bit more context on the data below, here are the averages in each category within this 122-player sample:

  • 90th percentile EV: 105.6 mph
  • Contact%: 78.1%
  • Chase%: 23.1%

Above-Average Across The Board

There were 10 hitters in this sample who had average-or-better batted-ball data across all three categories, making this group the most well-rounded. Players are sorted in descending order of 90th percentile exit velocity: 

player pos school contact chase 90th%
James Quinn-Irons OF George Mason 80.50% 21.20% 110.9
Ike Irish C Auburn 80.30% 22.50% 108.1
Antonio Jimenez SS Central Florida 80.90% 22.60% 108
Dean Curley SS Tennessee 78.70% 16.60% 107.9
Jack Arcamone C Richmond 80.30% 18.60% 107.9
Matthew Bucciero OF Fairfield 82.40% 16.50% 107.8
Andrew Fischer 1B Tennessee 78.60% 15.10% 106.8
Devin Taylor OF Indiana 83.10% 16.20% 106.3
Mitch Voit 2B Michigan 79.80% 22.40% 106.1
Kade Snell OF Alabama 90.10% 20.40% 105.8

It’s unsurprising that this group contains a number of corner-oriented profiles who will need hit for average, power and on-base value to be productive players at the next level. That group includes Andrew Fischer, Devin Taylor, Kade Snell, Matthew Bucciero, Dean Curley and Ike Irish—if he’s forced to move off the catching position as many scouts think he might.

It also includes a handful of players who at least have a chance to profile at premium, up-the-middle defensive positions and can boast a fairly impressive all-around profile on draft day: James Quinn-Irons, Antonio Jimenez, Jack Arcamone and Mitch Voit.

Irish is potentially the name to monitor here. He’s one of four players to rank inside this well-rounded group of 10 from the SEC, and he’s also currently the highest-ranking college hitter in the group. In a draft class that’s been heavily criticized for lacking top-tier college hitters, Irish could be a sleeper candidate to push inside the first 10 picks and perhaps even be the first college hitter off the board. If a team buys into his hitting ingredients and also thinks he has a good shot to stick at catcher, he has a compelling top-of-the-class argument. 

Curley has been slipping on draft boards but still has a proven offensive profile, while Taylor makes plenty of sense as a first-round option despite a surprising lack of chatter surrounding his name. 

The Contact Hitters

One of the biggest critiques of this year’s college class is the lack of polished, high-confidence hit tools at the very top. Many of the top-ranked college bats stand out for their flaws in the contact department, but there were 15 players in this sample who managed an 85% contact rate or better. The group is listed below in descending order by contact rate:

player pos school contact chase 90th%
Charles Davalan OF Arkansas 91.90% 20.00% 103.7
Michael Lombardi RHP/OF Tulane 91.30% 23.80% 99.8
Jake Cook OF Southern Miss 90.90% 20.30% 100.1
Kade Snell OF Alabama 90.10% 20.40% 105.8
Caden Bodine C Coastal Carolina 89.50% 23.40% 103.4
Owen Prince OF Virginia Military Institute 89.30% 16.30% 95.1
Eric Snow INF Auburn 88.30% 20.30% 104.8
Henry Godbout 2B Virginia 88.10% 21.20% 103.7
Kane Kepley OF North Carolina 88.10% 13.70% 101.5
Dylan Palmer 2B Hofstra 87.50% 25.50% 95.4
Sam White UTL West Virginia 87.30% 20.70% 103.8
Brendan Summerhill OF Arizona 86.90% 16.00% 103.6
Logan Braunschweig OF Alabama-Birmingham 86.90% 21.90% 101.1
Juan Cruz 1B Alabama State 85.80% 39.00% 103.5
Josh Tate OF Georgia Southern 85.70% 19.30% 103.8

This bat-to-ball specialist group is led by Arkansas outfielder Charles Davalan, who has used an excellent season to shoot up draft boards. Notably, the other three players who managed 90% or better contact rates all play the outfield: Michael Lombardi (who’s also a talented righthanded pitcher), Jake Cook and Kade Snell. 

A number of the most prominent contact hitters entering the year remain in the elite contact territory today: Caden Bodine, Kane Kepley and Henry Godbout. Each of these three players has impressive ability to put the barrel on the ball and play at up-the-middle positions in relatively strong conferences. Hypothetically, this should outweigh the lack of impact they all bring to the table.

In addition to Brendan Summerhill—who is being viewed as one of the most polished bats in the class and a slam dunk first rounder—there are some intriguing sleeper targets in this tier that teams might be excited about if they’re able to add a bit more power. Smaller conference names like Owen Prince, Dylan Palmer and Logan Braunschweig could be interesting to keep an eye on. 

The Power Hitters 

There’s plenty of power to go around in college baseball these days. However, despite an extreme opening weekend for exit velocity, the home run rate in Division-I baseball actually dipped this year compared to the 2024 season. Perhaps we have entered the post-peak phase of this offensive-oriented post-pandemic era of college baseball. Below are the 15 players in this sample who managed a 109 mph or better 90th percentile exit velocity: 

player pos school contact chase 90th%
Jack Moroknek OF Butler 81.20% 31.10% 111.2
Landyn Vidourek OF Cincinnati 72.60% 12.30% 111.1
James Quinn-Irons OF George Mason 80.50% 21.20% 110.9
Jacob Krieg 1B Oregon State 69.40% 21.80% 110.7
Jacob Walsh 1B Oregon 78.20% 25.70% 110.3
Ethan Petry OF South Carolina 73.30% 27.10% 110.1
Dominic Hellman 1B Oregon 76.70% 24.00% 110
Grant Jay C Dallas Baptist 67.40% 24.00% 109.8
Judd Utermark 3B/OF Ole Miss 62.60% 31.60% 109.8
Brandon Compton OF Arizona State 77.30% 21.90% 109.7
Jared Jones 1B Louisiana State 74.70% 26.70% 109.6
Max Williams OF Florida State 75.30% 32.30% 109.5
Michael Gupton OF Samford 69.20% 40.70% 109.5
Nolan Schubart OF Oklahoma State 69.80% 22.30% 109.1
Beau Ankeney 1B Loyola Marymount 73.10% 25.10% 109.1

It’s typical to find plenty of physical, corner defenders who swing far too much and miss far too frequently in this tier of hitter. That’s true this year. Players like Jack Moroknek, Jacob Krieg, Grant Jay, Judd Utermark, Michael Gupton and Nolan Schubart all can hit the ball out of any park. But they also all have real hit tool questions that stem from their bat-to-ball skills, swing decisions or both.

While Moroknek has aggressive swing decisions, he does stand out as the best contact hitter of this group with an 81.2% overall contact rate. Other sluggers with a contact rate north of 75% in this group include James Quinn-Irons, Jacob Walsh, Brandon Compton, Dominic Hellman and Max Williams.

It’s also possible to be an extremely-productive hitter by pairing big power with savvy swing decisions. The group that has a better than 109 mph 90th percentile EV and a sub 23% chase rate includes Landyn Vidourek, James Quinn-Irons, Jacob Krieg, Brandon Compton and Nolan Schubart.

It seems notable that both Arizona outfielder Brandon Compton and George Mason outfielder James Quinn-Irons appeared in both of those last two paragraphs.

Other Names I’m Intrigued By

Below are thoughts on a pair of players who stood out to me, either by their placement on the graph visually, how their numbers stack up to others who are near them on our rankings or for any other nebulous reason.

Jace LaViolette, OF, Texas A&M

When looking at a chart like this, it’s common to look at the extremes and search for the players you expect to see there. Because LaViolette is such an unusual profile, I immediately scanned the top of the graph to see where his 90th percentile exit velocity stacked up with the other sluggers in the class. After all, his 2024 exit velocities were some of the best we could see from our preseason look at the data.

It’s more difficult to find LaViolette’s name than you might expect. That’s because this year his 90th percentile exit velocity is down 2.2 mph. In 2024, he managed a 108.8 mph 90th percentile exit velocity, and through April 18 in 2025, that’s down to 106.6 mph. Perhaps you noticed that he didn’t surface in the “power hitter” category above. 

LaViolette had a notably slow start to the season. He then seemed to rebound before once again scuffling down the stretch and putting together a gutsy performance in the SEC tournament by hitting (and hitting well) after breaking a finger on his left hand from getting hit by a pitch. His home run total (18) and home run rate (6.9%) were both down in 2025 compared to a tremendous 2024 campaign. With Texas A&M missing out on the NCAA Tournament, he won’t have the opportunity to add to those numbers. 

He could be a test case for how teams are handling low batting average college hitters at the top of the class.

Devin Taylor, OF, Indiana

As mentioned on a recent draft podcast, I wonder why we aren’t hearing as much about Taylor in a class bemoaned for its lack of high-confidence college bats. What’s there to not be confident about with the switch-hitting Indiana slugger?

Taylor’s college performance was tremendous in 2025. It was also tremendous in 2024 and 2023. He’s hit over .315 in each season and has progressively upped that average year after year. The same is true of his on-base percentage and slugging percentage. He has never hit for an OPS below 1.080, he’s homered 16 times or more in each season and he’s never had a strikeout rate higher than 18.9%. 

He’s not a metal bat merchant, either. He has a high-quality wood bat track record that includes an eight-homer campaign in the New England Collegiate League in 2023 and a five-homer campaign in the Cape Cod League in 2024—in addition to a stint with USA Baseball’s college national team. 

Taylor also entered the year highly-regarded by major league scouting directors. He was voted a second-team preseason All-American and tabbed as the second-best pure hitter in the class behind only Clemson’s Cam Cannarella. Yes, he’s not the best athlete or runner or defender or thrower in the world. He’s probably going to have to play left field in pro ball. But that was the understanding coming into the season, and it seems like worse athletes and defenders have gone higher in the draft than where his name is being mentioned. 

I won’t be at all surprised to see Taylor go in a good spot on draft day. His entire collegiate track record—plus his placement at the top right of this batted ball chart—stands out in this year’s class.


Below are notable up/down movement profiles among players for whom we had data in both our preseason exercise and this updated version. 

90th Percentile Gainers (+2 mph Or More)

player pos school 2025 90th 2024 90th 90th diff
Gage Harrelson OF Florida State 103.8 98.7 5.1
Korbyn Dickerson OF Indiana 108.9 104.1 4.8
Eric Snow INF Auburn 104.8 100.1 4.7
Trent Caraway 3B Oregon State 107.6 102.9 4.7
Maximus Martin SS Kansas State 108.4 103.9 4.5
Adonys Guzman C Arizona 105.4 101.9 3.5
Anthony Martinez 1B UC Irvine 105 101.6 3.4
Marek Houston SS Wake Forest 102.5 99.4 3.1
Henry Godbout 2B Virginia 103.7 101 2.7
Murf Gray 3B Fresno State 106.4 103.8 2.6
Isaiah Jackson OF Arizona State 107.5 104.9 2.6
Dominic Hellman 1B Oregon 110 107.7 2.3
Tyler Albright OF Duke 105.1 103 2.1

90th Percentile Losers (-2 mph Or More)

player pos school 2025 90th 2024 90th 90th diff
Garrett Michel 1B Virginia Tech 108.4 112.6 -4.2
Nolan Schubart OF Oklahoma State 109.1 111.6 -2.5
Henry Ford OF Virginia 103.7 106.2 -2.5
Jace LaViolette OF Texas A&M 106.6 108.8 -2.2
Tre Phelps OF Georgia 103.2 105.4 -2.2
Daniel Dickinson 2B LSU 102.6 104.7 -2.1

Contact Gainers (+5% Or More)

player pos school 2025 contact% 2024 Contact% contact% diff
Dominic Hellman 1B Oregon 76.70% 57.50% 19.20%
Jared Jones 1B Louisiana State 74.70% 62.20% 12.50%
Brady Neal C Alabama 81.40% 69.00% 12.40%
Garrett Michel 1B Virginia Tech 73.40% 62.50% 10.90%
Tanner Thach 1B UNC Wilmington 82.00% 71.20% 10.80%
Trent Caraway 3B Oregon State 73.50% 63.90% 9.60%
Ethan Petry OF South Carolina 73.30% 64.50% 8.80%
Mason Neville OF Oregon 76.10% 67.70% 8.40%
Colby Shelton SS Florida 78.50% 70.70% 7.80%
Mitch Voit 2B Michigan 79.80% 72.30% 7.50%
Gavin Turley OF Oregon State 71.60% 65.00% 6.60%
Nolan Schubart OF Oklahoma State 69.80% 63.30% 6.50%
Brandon Compton OF Arizona State 77.30% 71.20% 6.10%
Kien Vu OF Arizona State 75.10% 69.70% 5.40%
Andrew Fischer 1B Tennessee 78.60% 73.50% 5.10%

Contact Losers (-3% Or More)

player pos school 2025 contact% 2024 Contact% contact% diff
Henry Kaczmar SS South Carolina 71.50% 80.30% -8.80%
Alex Duffey C Elon 73.30% 80.90% -7.60%
Nick Dumesnil OF California Baptist 72.10% 79.10% -7.00%
Tre Phelps OF Georgia 72.60% 79.30% -6.70%
Adonys Guzman C Arizona 78.00% 83.20% -5.20%
Ryan Sprock 3B/RHP Elon 81.60% 86.50% -4.90%
Cam Cannarella OF Clemson 78.10% 82.20% -4.10%
Max Belyeu OF Texas 73.30% 77.20% -3.90%
Aiva Arquette SS Oregon State 76.40% 79.70% -3.30%

Chase Gainers (-6% Or More)

player pos school 2025 chase% 2024 chase% chase DIFF
Dominic Hellman 1B Oregon 24.00% 49.20% -25.20%
Gavin Kilen 2B Tennessee 19.50% 35.80% -16.30%
Garrett Michel 1B Virginia Tech 18.60% 31.80% -13.20%
Drew Faurot 2B Florida State 25.10% 37.70% -12.60%
Brady Neal C Alabama 13.10% 24.60% -11.50%
Cam Cannarella OF Clemson 15.30% 26.60% -11.30%
Andrew Fischer 1B Tennessee 15.10% 26.30% -11.20%
Tyler Albright OF Duke 15.60% 24.80% -9.20%
Mitch Voit 2B Michigan 22.40% 31.60% -9.20%
Brendan Summerhill OF Arizona 16.00% 23.60% -7.60%
Devin Taylor OF Indiana 16.20% 23.40% -7.20%
Brandon Compton OF Arizona State 21.90% 28.40% -6.50%
Luke Stevenson C North Carolina 13.20% 19.40% -6.20%

Chase Losers (+3% Or More)

player pos school 2025 Chase% 2024 chase% chase diff
Gage Harrelson OF Florida State 24.90% 16.10% 8.80%
Colby Shelton SS Florida 36.10% 28.80% 7.30%
Maximus Martin SS Kansas State 24.80% 18.00% 6.80%
Blake Cyr OF Florida 25.60% 19.80% 5.80%
Jared Jones 1B Louisiana State 26.70% 21.40% 5.30%
Brooks Bryan C/OF Troy 29.30% 24.30% 5.00%
Korbyn Dickerson OF Indiana 25.50% 20.80% 4.70%
Luke Hill 3B/2B Ole Miss 19.10% 14.70% 4.40%
Nolan Schubart OF Oklahoma State 22.30% 18.70% 3.60%
Marek Houston SS Wake Forest 21.30% 18.00% 3.30%