Oilers vs. Stars odds, prediction, free picks: 2025 NHL playoffs Western Conference Final Game 4 bets

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The Edmonton Oilers will try to increase their series lead when they host the Dallas Stars in Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs Western Conference Final on Tuesday. Connor McDavid and the Oilers have won two straight in the series, most recently securing a 6-1 victory on home ice in Game 3. Puck drop for Game 4 at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada is at 8 p.m. ET.

Edmonton is a -155 favorite on the money line (risk $155 to win $100) in the latest Oilers vs. Stars odds, while Dallas is a +130 underdog (risk $100 to win $130). The over/under for total goals scored is 6, and the Oilers are -1.5 (+154) on the puck line. Before making any Stars vs. Oilers picks, be sure to see the NHL predictions from SportsLine’s proven model. You can also see the model’s Oilers vs. Stars Game 4 prop bets.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. It enters the second week of the conference finals of the 2025 NHL playoffs a combined 80-56 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks, returning more than $1,600 for $100 players. Anybody following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.  

Here are its best bets for Oilers vs. Stars on Tuesday:

  • Stars +1.5 on the puck line (-186)
  • Under 6 goals (-105)

Stars +1.5 on the puck line (-186)

The Oilers have outscored the Stars 9-1 over the last two games, but the model is leaning on Pete DeBoer’s men to make Game 4 a closer matchup. Dallas’ offense was flat with Roope Hintz sidelined with a lower-body injury and Jake Oettinger’s postseason form was challenged as he gave up all six of Edmonton’s goals. The SportsLine model projects the Stars will adjust for Game 4, and is covering the puck line in nearly 70% of simulations.

You’ve seen one of the best bets for Oilers vs. Stars on Tuesday. Now, get picks for every game from the model that enters the second week of the 2025 NHL playoffs conference finals a combined 80-56 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks.

Under 6 goals (-105)

In four previous playoff games where Oettinger surrendered four or more goals, he recovered the following games to allow two or fewer. Meanwhile, Stuart Skinner has rebounded from allowing six goals in Game 1 in Dallas to allowing just one goal over two starts.

Under 6.5 goals to be scored is listed at -105 at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users can get the latest BetMGM promo code good for up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses.

Want more NHL picks for Tuesday? Matt Severance is SportsLine’s No. 1 NHL expert, posting a 145-69-8 roll on NHL sides picks, returning over $4,000 for $100 players. See his best bet for Tuesday at SportsLine.

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