Projected College Football Playoff rankings: Predictions, who’s in, who’s out

The first College Football Playoff rankings of the 2024 season are about to be released, and the introduction of a 12-team format this year means they are sure to be a conversation starter this week and until the postseason arrives next month.

Teams like No. 1 Oregon, No. 2 Georgia, No. 4 Miami and No. 9 BYU that could potentially win their respective Power Four league and earn a coveted first-round bye will see where they’re positioned, as well as more than 20 teams that realistically believe there’s still a chance to be an at-large team selected with an expanded field when the dust settles after conference championship weekend.

After some unexpected results in Week 10, and with several huge matchups looming on the Week 11 college football schedule, these initial rankings will set the tone for the final month of the regular season. Ahead of Tuesday’s CFP rankings release, here are national projections and predictions about what the rankings and playoff bracket might look like, as well as information on the 12-team playoff and how to watch the rankings release show.

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CFP rankings projections

ESPN

1. Oregon
2. Ohio State
3. Georgia
4. Miami
5. Texas
6. BYU
7. Penn State
8. Tennessee
9. Boise State
10. Notre Dame
11. Indiana
12. Alabama

The Athletic

1. Oregon
2. Ohio State
3. Miami
4. Georgia
5. Notre Dame
6. Penn State
7. Indiana
8. Texas
9. Boise State
10. Tennessee
11. Alabama
12. BYU
13. SMU

Sports Illustrated

1. Oregon
2. Georgia
3. Ohio State
4. Miami
5. Texas
6. Penn State
7. Tennessee
8. Notre Dame
9. BYU
10. Indiana
11. Alabama
12. Boise State
13. LSU

College Football Playoff predictions 

USA TODAY

▪ Byes

1. Oregon (Big Ten champion)
2. Georgia (SEC champion)
3. Miami (ACC champion)
4. BYU (Big 12 champion)

▪ First round

• No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 Ohio State
• No. 11 Indiana at No. 6 Texas
• No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 7 Tennessee
• No. 9 Alabama at No. 8 Penn State

CBS Sports

▪ Byes

1. Georgia (SEC champion)
2. Ohio State (Big Ten champion)
3. Miami (ACC champion)
4. Iowa State (Big 12 champion)

▪ First round

• No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 Oregon
• No. 11 Tennessee at No. 6 Texas
• No. 10 Notre Dame vs. No. 7 BYU
• No. 9 Alabama at No. 8 Penn State

FOX Sports

▪ Byes

1. Oregon (Big Ten champion)
2. Georgia (SEC champion)
3. Clemson (ACC champion)
4. BYU (Big 12 champion)

▪ First round

• No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 Ohio State
• No. 11 Miami at No. 6 Texas
• No. 10 Alabama at No. 7 Penn State
• No. 9 Tennessee at No. 8 Notre Dame

When College Football Playoff rankings come out 

The first College Football Playoff rankings of the 2024 season will be released Tuesday, Nov. 5. A new top 25 ranking is then released by the CFP selection committee every Tuesday through Dec. 3. There is a CFP selection show on Dec. 8 to announce the 12-team playoff field.

What time is CFP rankings? 

The College Football Playoff rankings are released each week through a CFP rankings show broadcasted by ESPN beginning at 7 p.m. ET every Tuesday, from Nov. 5 through Dec. 3.

How to watch College Football Playoff rankings show 

The College Football Playoff rankings show will air on ESPN, with the broadcast starting at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Nov. 5. Fans can also stream the show on Fubo, which is a offering a free trial.

Watch CFP rankings show with Fubo

How many teams in College Football Playoff 2024? 

There are 12 teams in the College Football Playoff for the first time this season, after college football introduced the CFP in 2014 with a four-team format. The expansion to 12 teams is set in place for the 2024 and 2025 college football seasons. Leaders within the sport have not agreed to the framework of the playoff beyond that at this point.

How does College Football Playoff format work? 

The 12 participating teams in the College Football Playoff bracket will be the five conference champions ranked highest by the CFP selection committee, and the next seven highest-ranked teams.

The four highest-ranked conference champions will be seeded one through four and receive a first-round bye. The fifth conference champion will be seeded where it was ranked or at No. 12 if it is outside the top 12 in the CFP rankings. Non-conference champions ranked in the top four will be seeded beginning at No. 5.

“Because of this,” the CFP warns on its website, “the seeding, 1 through 12, could look different than the final rankings.”

For the first round, the higher-ranked team in each pairing (5 vs. 12, 6 vs. 11, 7 vs. 10, 8 vs. 9) will serve as host on campus. The winners advance to the quarterfinals and match up with the corresponding top-four conference champion based on seeding. Quarterfinal games will be played at the Fiesta Bowl, Peach Bowl, Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl on New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day. The semifinals – played at the Orange Bowl and Cotton Bowl Classic – will take place Jan. 9-10.

The two semifinal winners will play for the national championship Jan. 20 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

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