Major League Baseball (MLB)

Top 100 MLB Prospects According To Hit+ & Stuff+ Scores


Image credit:
Kristian Campbell (Photo by Tayla Bolduc/Worcester Red Sox)

Today, we’ll be taking a peek under the hood for the prospects in the Top 100 from a 2024 Statcast perspective.

From their performance in the minor leagues last season, we derived a HIT+ score for the hitters and a STF+ for the pitchers. Those players who did not play in the minor league season due to injury (like Jeferson Quero), those who did not make their professional debut after being drafted (like Konnor Griffin) and those who weren’t in North America at the time (like Roki Sasaki) will not have a score and are denoted “DNP” for “did not play.”

Back in November, we discussed the methodology behind HIT+ here and STF+ here.


2025 Top 100 Prospects

Since HIT+ is derived relative to the rest of the minor leagues (where 100 is average), intuitively, nearly all of the top prospects will have a score above 100, and this is true. The sole exception is Charlie Condon, whose struggles in this professional debut have been well documented and resulted in a 96 for 2024.

It is interesting to see where hitters excel in specific metrics. For example, Kristian Campbell’s 131 xwOBAcon, Kevin McGonigle’s 130 contact% and Dalton Rushing’s 134 barrel rate are all top tier scores for the entire minor leagues

Some noteworthy laggards are Xavier Isaac’s 76 contact rate, Ethan Salas’ 87 xwOBAcon or Justin Crawford’s 76 chase rate. These illustrate the areas where their future development should be focused.

For the pitchers, it is a similar situation. Most of the top prospects’ arsenals are above average, often significantly so, such as Jackson Jobe and Noah Schultz’s 116 STF+

The only pitcher whose 2024 STF+ score was below average was Cade Horton, who took a step back from his 2023 STF+ score of 109 to only a 96 in 2024. Digging into it, we see his fastball velocity lost about 2 mph and induced 10% fewer whiffs, while his slider lost over 1 mph and five inches of horizontal break in 2024.

All scores in the table below are derived solely from minor league performance. For example, none of Dylan Crews’ major league performance is reflected in his HIT+ score.

player top 100 rank cont% xwobacon BRL% chase% hit+ STF+ nSTF+
Roki Sasaki 1 NA NA NA NA NA DNP DNP
Roman Anthony 2 110 113 117 115 123 NA NA
Jackson Jobe 3 NA NA NA NA NA 116 119
Kristian Campbell 4 113 131 119 113 127 NA NA
Walker Jenkins 5 123 100 102 111 121 NA NA
Dylan Crews 6 105 106 115 94 111 NA NA
Bubba Chandler 7 NA NA NA NA NA 113 114
Chase Dollander 8 NA NA NA NA NA 113 114
Andrew Painter 9 NA NA NA NA NA DNP DNP
Noah Schultz 10 NA NA NA NA NA 116 118
Carson Williams 11 93 119 112 114 108 NA NA
Bryce Eldridge 12 94 132 134 102 117 NA NA
Jordan Lawlar 13 100 103 98 104 101 NA NA
Samuel Basallo 14 100 108 116 86 107 NA NA
Marcelo Mayer 15 106 116 111 102 115 NA NA
Colt Emerson 16 119 103 107 118 123 NA NA
Jesus Made 17 117 113 109 117 125 NA NA
Leodalis De Vries 18 100 126 107 105 110 NA NA
Emmanuel Rodriguez 19 93 118 122 130 118 NA NA
Kumar Rocker 20 NA NA NA NA NA 107 105
Sebastian Walcott 21 97 113 109 102 107 NA NA
Max Clark 22 111 97 106 113 114 NA NA
Kevin McGonigle 23 130 94 111 118 130 NA NA
Travis Bazzana 24 108 106 109 111 114 NA NA
JJ Wetherholt 25 109 95 111 117 117 NA NA
Rhett Lowder 26 NA NA NA NA NA 102 103
Chase Burns 27 NA NA NA NA NA DNP DNP
Jasson Dominguez 28 109 119 110 93 115 NA NA
Coby Mayo 29 102 129 122 102 118 NA NA
Dalton Rushing 30 112 130 134 122 134 NA NA
Ethan Salas 31 112 87 96 104 106 NA NA
Jaison Chourio 32 118 101 103 119 120 NA NA
Thomas White 33 NA NA NA NA NA 109 113
Nick Kurtz 34 103 110 103 103 109 NA NA
Matt Shaw 35 108 112 108 98 113 NA NA
Aidan Miller 36 110 101 95 115 111 NA NA
Angel Genao 37 116 109 113 101 119 NA NA
Jacob Wilson 38 132 112 92 92 120 NA NA
Colson Montgomery 39 101 120 108 102 110 NA NA
Hagen Smith 40 NA NA NA NA NA 109 105
Quinn Mathews 41 NA NA NA NA NA 108 113
Charlie Condon 42 95 101 97 97 96 NA NA
Jeferson Quero 43 DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP NA NA
Jacob Misiorowski 44 NA NA NA NA NA 119 119
Luke Keaschall 45 119 112 117 120 128 NA NA
Alex Freeland 46 113 114 126 123 128 NA NA
Josue De Paula 47 111 113 115 125 124 NA NA
Chase DeLauter 48 123 105 103 107 124 NA NA
Alejandro Rosario 49 NA NA NA NA NA 107 109
Cooper Pratt 50 110 105 105 99 111 NA NA
Zyhir Hope 51 110 118 108 120 123 NA NA
Kyle Teel 52 106 108 105 108 111 NA NA
Drake Baldwin 53 118 113 126 111 129 NA NA
Cade Horton 54 NA NA NA NA NA 96 96
Cam Smith 55 110 113 109 105 117 NA NA
Cole Young 56 121 100 105 117 121 NA NA
Konnor Griffin 57 DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP NA NA
Jett Williams 58 98 92 99 108 100 NA NA
Travis Sykora 59 NA NA NA NA NA 104 105
Bryce Rainer 60 DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP NA NA
Brandon Sproat 61 NA NA NA NA NA 106 109
Moises Ballesteros 62 112 110 118 90 116 NA NA
Jac Caglianone 63 102 105 104 81 102 NA NA
Owen Caissie 64 95 121 112 101 108 NA NA
Brayden Taylor 65 98 111 112 119 110 NA NA
Braden Montgomery 66 DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP NA NA
Jarlin Susana 67 NA NA NA NA NA 114 112
Tink Hence 68 NA NA NA NA NA 102 104
Thayron Liranzo 69 97 120 128 121 120 NA NA
Jonny Farmelo 70 107 102 111 110 113 NA NA
Kevin Alcantara 71 102 118 112 93 110 NA NA
Starlyn Caba 72 126 89 82 122 115 NA NA
Zebby Matthews 73 NA NA NA NA NA 112 110
Thomas Harrington 74 NA NA NA NA NA 106 106
Blake Mitchell 75 101 119 117 117 116 NA NA
Franklin Arias 76 110 105 111 112 116 NA NA
Michael Arroyo 77 102 125 123 107 117 NA NA
Caden Dana 78 NA NA NA NA NA 105 105
Christian Moore 79 94 125 121 96 110 NA NA
Tre’ Morgan 80 117 100 111 102 117 NA NA
Heston Kjerstad 81 107 116 130 90 119 NA NA
Jackson Ferris 82 NA NA NA NA NA 103 102
AJ Smith-Shawver 83 NA NA NA NA NA 106 113
Demetrio Crisantes 84 119 117 111 108 124 NA NA
Cole Carrigg 85 104 103 107 90 105 NA NA
Colby Thomas 86 97 136 120 79 109 NA NA
Xavier Isaac 87 76 121 124 104 100 NA NA
George Lombard Jr. 88 100 95 102 113 104 NA NA
Felnin Celesten 89 107 107 96 106 108 NA NA
Trevor Harrison 90 NA NA NA NA NA 108 109
Ralphy Velazquez 91 105 108 113 102 112 NA NA
Jesus Baez 92 106 113 113 91 111 NA NA
Eduardo Tait 93 107 111 103 85 106 NA NA
Gary Gill Hill 94 NA NA NA NA NA 101 102
Harry Ford 95 104 108 113 125 115 NA NA
Justin Crawford 96 121 96 103 76 111 NA NA
Lazaro Montes 97 94 112 110 102 104 NA NA
Chase Petty 98 NA NA NA NA NA 108 108
Nolan McLean 99 NA NA NA NA NA 114 113
Ricky Tiedemann 100 NA NA NA NA NA 109 112

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