UCLA vs. Gonzaga odds, prediction: 2024 college basketball picks, Dec. 28 best bets by proven computer model

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The No. 14 Gonzaga Bulldogs (9-3) and the No. 22 UCLA Bruins (10-2) will become the first college teams to play at the Intuit Dome when they meet in a rivalry tilt on Saturday afternoon. The new $2 billion home of the Los Angeles Clippers will be the stage for the fifth matchup in five years between the Bulldogs and Bruins. Gonzaga has won four straight in the rivalry, but three of them have been decided by four points or fewer. The Bulldogs have lost three games decided by less than eight points this season, while UCLA is coming off a 76-74 loss at North Carolina. 

Tipoff is set for 4 p.m. ET on Saturday at the Intuit Dome. Gonzaga is favored by 4.5 points in the latest UCLA vs. Gonzaga odds, while the over/under is 148.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Gonzaga vs. UCLA picks, you’ll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 8 of the 2024-25 season on a 183-130 betting roll (+2520) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Gonzaga-UCLA. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:

  • UCLA vs. Gonzaga spread: Gonzaga -4.5
  • UCLA vs. Gonzaga over/under: 148.5 points
  • UCLA vs. Gonzaga money line: Gonzaga: -187, UCLA: +155
  • UCLA vs. Gonzaga picks: See picks here
  • UCLA vs. Gonzaga streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why UCLA can cover

UCLA had its nine-game winning streak snapped in its 76-74 loss to North Carolina last Saturday in a game that the Bruins led by 11 points with 10 minutes remaining. Their hot streak included wins over then-No. 12 Oregon and Arizona, so they have experience playing against high-level opponents this season. They have also played close games against Gonzaga in recent years, with three of the last four meetings being decided by four points or fewer. 

Tyler Bilodeau is coming off a season-high 26 points in the loss to North Carolina, while Sebastian Mack scored a season-best 22 points. The Bruins are giving up just 58.4 points per game this season, which ranks seventh best in college basketball. They are 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 games, while Gonzaga has only covered once in its last five outings. See which team to pick here. 

Why Gonzaga can cover

Gonzaga has won four straight meetings against UCLA in the last four years, including a 69-65 win in the Maui Invitational last year. The Bulldogs have an average margin of victory of 28.1 points per game this season following blowout wins over Nicholls and Bucknell. Their most competitive win was an 88-80 victory against Arizona State on Nov. 10, which was their only win decided by single digits.  

They head into this game averaging 89.3 points per game, which is the best figure in the country. Big man Graham Ike leads six double-digit scorers with 15.5 points per game, while guard Ryan Nembhard leads the nation with 10.2 assists per game. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in six of their last nine games against the Bruins. See which team to pick here. 

How to make UCLA vs. Gonzaga picks

The model has simulated Gonzaga vs. UCLA 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins UCLA vs. Gonzaga, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Gonzaga vs. UCLA spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 183-130 roll on top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.

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