Team USA will try to top Canada once again when the familiar foes face off in the 2025 4 Nations Final on Thursday. The Americans topped Canada in an emotional and physical 3-1 victory earlier in the competition, ending the Canadians’ 17-game winning streak in best-on-best international play. Canada went on to defeat Finland 5-3 to punch their ticket to the 2025 4 Nations Final, while the U.S. rested some of its players in a 2-1 loss to Sweden on Monday. Connor Hellebuyck will get the start in goal for the United States, and Jordan Binnington will get the call for Canada.
Puck drop from TD Garden in Boston is at 8 p.m. ET. Both teams are listed at -110 (risk $110 to win $100) on the money line. The over/under for total goals scored is 5.5, and the Americans are -1.5 favorites on the puck line (+225). Team USA’s Auston Matthews is priced at +120 (risk $100 to win $125) to record 4+ shots on target. Before making any Canada vs. USA picks, be sure to see the 2025 4 Nations Final predictions from SportsLine’s Matt Severance.
Severance entered the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off as SportsLine’s No. 1 NHL expert, going 35-11-4 on NHL puck-line picks, returning more than $1,800 for $100 players. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, he has set his sights on USA vs. Canada and just locked in his 4 Nations Final picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest odds for Canada vs. USA:
- USA vs. Canada money line: USA -110, Canada -110
- USA vs. Canada over/under: 5.5 goals
- USA vs. Canada puck line: USA -1.5 (+225)
- USA vs. Canada picks: See picks at SportsLine
- USA vs. Canada streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why you should back Team USA
In addition to having a confidence boost from defeating Canada less than a week ago, Team USA will have a few players back in the mix for the 2025 4 Nations Final on Thursday. That includes three-time Rocket Richard Trophy winner Auston Matthews, who is still looking for his first goal in the tournament. Vezina Trophy hopeful Connor Hellebuyck will also be back between the pipes after resting in the final preliminary game against Sweden, and the Winnipeg Jets netminder has only allowed one goal in each of his previous 4 Nations Face-off starts.
There is a bit of concern for the USA as Boston Bruins defenseman Charlie McAvoy will miss the 2025 4 Nations Final due to a shoulder injury that has kept him in the hospital. Team USA hoped to fill the blue line void with Vancouver Canucks captain Quinn Hughes, but now have New York Devils defenseman Brett Pesce on standby to potentially fill the void. Buffalo Sabres forward Tage Thompson is also on standby to join Team USA if another player is injured or sick ahead of the puck drop. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why you should back Team Canada
Speaking of the Norris Trophy, the current betting favorite to win that award will be back in the lineup for Team Canada on Thursday. Cale Makar missed Saturday’s fight-heavy battle against the U.S. due to an illness, although he returned for Monday’s victory against Finland. He has three goals and eight assists against the Jets in his career, including an overtime game-winning goal against Hellebuyck.
Canada has the upper hand when it comes to best-on-best international tournaments. The Canadiana had won 17 straight best-on-best bouts before Saturday’s loss to the Americans, including Olympic gold medals in 2010 and 2014 and the 2016 World Cup of Hockey. The Canadians have won five of the past six best-on-best tournaments and nine of the last 13 dating back to the 1976 Canada Cup. Meanwhile, the U.S. hasn’t won a best-on-best matchup since the 1996 World Cup of Hockey. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 4 Nations Final picks
Severance is going Under on the goal total. He’s also found a critical x-factor that has him jumping on one side ahead of the 4 Nations Final 2025. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins USA vs. Canada, and what critical x-factor do you need to know about? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Canada vs. USA 2025 4 Nations Final puck line to jump on, all from the top NHL expert who is on a 35-11 roll.
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