Will Alabama football make 2025 College Football Playoff? What metric shows

Alabama football has not played a snap in 2025. But, according to one metric, the Crimson Tide has the fourth-best odds of any college football team to reach the College Football Playoff.

Alabama, per ESPN’s College Football Power Index, has a 66.2% chance to be one of the 12 teams in the 2025 CFP, sitting behind only Texas (83.9%), Georgia (78.6%) and Ohio State (70.6%).

The Crimson Tide is also one of four teams with better than 10% odds to win a national championship along with the Longhorns, Bulldogs and Buckeyes.

Of the top 12 teams listed according to CFP chances, six are in the SEC: Texas, Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, Texas A&M and Ole Miss.

The ESPN College Football Power Index sets Alabama’s projected win total at 9.6, tied for ninth-best nationally with Boise State.

Alabama will open the second season of the Kalen DeBoer era at 2:30 p.m. CT Aug. 30 on the road against Florida State.

Colin Gay covers Alabama football for The Tuscaloosa News, part of the USA TODAY Network. Reach him at cgay@gannett.com or follow him @_ColinGay on X, formerly known as Twitter.