Michigan (24-9) vs Wisconsin (26-8)
Game Info: Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 3:30 pm (Gainbridge Fieldhouse)
Betting Odds: Michigan +3.5 — Over/Under: 149.5
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Where to Watch: CBS
The Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan Wolverines meet on Sunday in college basketball action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Wisconsin vs Michigan prediction. This article will include a Wisconsin vs Michigan Pick.
Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview
The Wisconsin Badgers (26-8, 21-12-1 ATS) were in a shaky form late in the regular season as they lost three of the final five games and entered the Big Ten tournament as the No. 5 seed. Those losses came to Oregon, Michigan State, and Penn State, but Wisconsin returned to winning ways when mattered the most – in the conference tourney. The Badgers beat Northwestern, No. 4 UCLA, and No. 1 Michigan State to make it to the finals.
Wisconsin is averaging 80.6 PPG (37th) and is allowing 70.7 PPG (138th). The Badgers are getting 36.3 RPG (144th) and dish out 14.8 APG (113th). John Tonje is the team’s top performer with 19.1 PPG and 5.2 RPG. John Blackwell has 15.5 PPG, 5.2 RPG, and 2.2 APG, while Steven Crowl contributes 9.9 PPG, 5.3 RPG, and 2.5 APG.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines (24-9, 15-18 ATS) were in even worse form to conclude the regular season as they lost four of six games, including the final three to Illinois, Maryland, and Michigan State. Those losses made Michigan drop to the No. 3 seed for the Big Ten tournament but that didn’t seem to bother the Wolverines in the quarterfinals where they breezed past Purdue in a 86-68 victory. It was way more dramatic in the semis against Maryland, who had a point lead in the final seconds, but Tre Donaldson drove the length of the court and scored on a layup with 0.4 seconds left to help Michigan secure an 81-80 win and reach the finals.
Michigan averages 78.8 PPG (68th) and allows 71.5 PPG (168th). The Wolverines are 67th in rebounds (37.8) and 45th in assists (16.2). Vladislav Goldin leads the team with 16.6 PPG, 6.8 RPG, and a team-high 1.4 BPG. Danny Wolf follows him with 13.0 PPG, a team-high 9.8 RPG, 3.8 APG, and 1.4 SPG, while Tre Donaldson chips in 11.6 PPG, 3.5 RPG, a team-high 4.0 APG, and 1.1 SPG.
Why Wisconsin will beat Michigan
- Wisconsin has won eight of its last nine day games played at neutral venues.
- Michigan has lost three of its last four Conference Tournament day games.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of Michigan’s last 12 day games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
- Six of Wisconsin’s last seven games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 151+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (11.3).
- Michigan ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (47.8%).
- Wisconsin ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (118.0).
- Wisconsin ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (103.7).
Wisconsin vs Michigan Prediction
Michigan won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last three. The Wolverines were better in the first meeting of the season when it was 67-64 at Wisconsin. It’s going to be an extremely close game, but I am backing Wisconsin to get the title after they fell short last year in the finals against Illinois. These rivals have previously met in the conference finals in 2017 when Michigan was better. The Badgers are 21-12-1 ATS this year and I am going with them to win and cover on Sunday.
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