The Baylor Bears (4-4) and the TCU Horned Frogs (5-3) square off on Saturday, November 2, 2024 at McLane Stadium in a clash of Big 12 foes. The game will air on ESPN2, with the kickoff at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around Baylor vs. TCU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Bears squared off against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their most recent game, winning 38-28. Their last time out, the Horned Frogs took down the Texas Tech Red Raiders 35-34. Against the Cowboys, Sawyer Robertson led the Bears with 222 yards on 11-of-19 passing (57.9%) for three touchdowns and one interception. He also carried the ball eight times for 73 yards and one rushing touchdown. Dawson Pendergrass totaled 142 rushing yards on six carries (23.7 yards per carry), scoring one touchdown on the ground. He also had one catch for eight yards. Ashtyn Hawkins had four receptions for 74 yards (18.5 per catch) and one touchdown against the Cowboys.
Josh Hoover put up 344 passing yards while going 21-for-32 with three touchdowns and two interceptions for the Frogs against the Red Raiders. Savion Williams carried the ball 11 times for 72 yards and one touchdown. He caught three passes for 81 yards and one touchdown. Eric McAlister recorded 84 yards through the air after one catch (on two targets), with one touchdown.
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Baylor vs. TCU odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:26 p.m..
- Moneyline (ML): Baylor -153 (Bet $153 to win $100) | TCU +127 (Bet $100 to win $127)
- Against the spread (ATS): Baylor -3 (-111) | TCU +3 (-109)
- Over/Under (O/U): 64.5 (O: -108 | U: -115)
How to make Baylor vs. TCU picks
Prediction
Baylor 36, TCU 26
Moneyline
- Moneyline pick: Baylor -153
- Baylor has gone 2-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -153 or shorter, the Bears have gone 2-1 (66.7%).
- TCU has won both games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Horned Frogs have played as an underdog of +127 or more once this season and won that game.
Against the spread
- ATS pick: Baylor -3
- The Bears have covered the spread four times in seven games.
- Baylor has two wins ATS (2-1) as a 3-point or higher favorite in 2024.
- The Horned Frogs have won twice against the spread this season.
- TCU is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 3-point underdog or more this season.
Over/Under
- O/U pick: Under 64.5 points
- The Bears and their opponents have combined to score more than 64.5 points in three of eight games this season.
- The Horned Frogs have played four games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 64.5 points.
- These two teams score 65.6 points per game combined, 1.1 more than this game’s total.
- Combined, these teams give up 54.2 points per game, 10.3 fewer points than this matchup’s total.
- The Bears have an average point total of 51.1 in their matchups this year, 13.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
- Horned Frogs games this season have had an average of 58.1 points, 6.4 fewer points than this game’s point total.
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